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宏观策略(美国股指期货)
贝森特:美国默许部分船只通过霍尔木兹
贝森特表态为油价降温,美股三大指数均录得反弹。

宏观策略(股指期货)
前两月中国经济取得开门红
经济取得开门红,从分子端给与股市支撑。后续一方面美伊局势仍会压制市场风险偏好,另一方面中国政策发力培育国内市场或能形成一定程度对冲。股指短期内震荡,中期仍看好。

宏观策略(国债期货)
央行开展了1373亿元7天期逆回购操作
油价继续上涨,债市对通胀的担忧有所加剧,叠加1-2月经济数据超市场预期,债市震荡下跌。

黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)
1-2月全国房地产开发投资同比下降11.1%
钢价延续震荡略偏强格局,终端需求依然乏善可陈,地产销售和新开工疲弱,符合预期。基建投资仍需关注持续性,成材自身压制犹存,成本推升带来的上方空间依然有限。

农产品(豆油/菜油/棕榈油)
印尼考虑对大宗商品征收“暴利税”
油脂市场继续走强,印尼或对棕榈油征收暴利税。

能源化工(甲醇)
伊朗ZPC甲醇装置快讯
预计短期甲醇期货将高位震荡,建议观望为主,关注后续重启节奏以及国内MTO重启节奏。

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